'Southern strategy' numbers

i was curious to see how a 'southern strategy' could work just in terms of
voting clout.

here's a map of how the 2000 usa election panned out:
http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/U.S.-presidential-election,-2000 ;
the map has the numbers on it that indicate the 'weight' of the states (by
population).

the total of the weights is 537. so a majority is 269. what would it take to
get a majority?

tallying up the southern states (Texas, Okla, Kansas, Nebr, Missouri,
Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee,
Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina) we get 209.

throw in the terminator's California (which has the greatest 'weight' at 54)
and pretty much just one other state, just about any other state, and that's
a majority.

ja

Comments

, Brett Stalbaum

Speaking here from the terminator state, those 54 are clearly Kerry's.
The terminator rose to the governorship not because California is a
republican state, but because of the incompetence of the previous
democratic governor, whose main base of political power was the
prison-industrial complex. Only tribal democrats were sorry to see Gray
Davis replaced by someone, who by certain metrics, is actually to the
left Davis. For full disclosure, I voted against the recall of Davis but
for Cruz Bustamante in case the recall passed.

Jim Andrews wrote:
> i was curious to see how a 'southern strategy' could work just in terms of
> voting clout.
>
> here's a map of how the 2000 usa election panned out:
> http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/U.S.-presidential-election,-2000 ;
> the map has the numbers on it that indicate the 'weight' of the states (by
> population).
>
> the total of the weights is 537. so a majority is 269. what would it take to
> get a majority?
>
> tallying up the southern states (Texas, Okla, Kansas, Nebr, Missouri,
> Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee,
> Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina) we get 209.
>
> throw in the terminator's California (which has the greatest 'weight' at 54)
> and pretty much just one other state, just about any other state, and that's
> a majority.
>
> ja
>
>
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Brett Stalbaum
Lecturer, psoe
Coordinator, ICAM
Department of Visual Arts, mail code 0084
University of California, San Diego
9500 Gillman
La Jolla CA 92093

, Jim Andrews

> Speaking here from the terminator state, those 54 are clearly Kerry's.

ha. cool.

so, erm, a 'Southern strategy' is sort of like a strategy in a game of Risk,
ie, you fortify your primary set of states (the southern ones, in the case
of the republicans), concentrate considerable effort there, and then
hopefully make enough successful incursions elsewhere as to hang on.

looking at the map of the 2000 election at
http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/U.S.-presidential-election,-2000 ,
the south looks pretty darn republican during the last election. do you
think it'll turn out that way again, ryan and curt? lots of respect being
lavished by the republicans on the cultural issues of abortion, no gun
control, nea disembowelment, and school prayer?

I read in one of the reviews of "What's Wrong with Kansas?" that

"The trick never ages, the illusion never wears off," Frank wrote. "Vote to
stop abortion, receive a rollback in capital-gains taxes. Vote to make our
country strong again; receive deindustrialization. Vote to screw those
politically correct college professors; receive electricity deregulation.
Vote to get government off our backs; receive conglomeration and monopoly
everywhere from media to meatpacking. Vote to stand tall against terrorists;
receive Social Security privatization efforts. Vote to strike a blow against
elitism; receive a social order in which wealth is more concentrated than
ever before in our lifetimes, in which workers have been stripped of power
and CEOs rewarded in a manner beyond imagining."

ja
http://vispo.com

, Francis Hwang

If you're into doing the electoral math, I'd recommend
http://www.electoral-vote.com/ . It tracks state electoral votes based
on statewide polling. By their count, Kerry was ahead for Jul and Aug,
but the Swift boat attack ads have eaten into his lead and now Bush is
ahead.

Me, I just signed up to be a MoveOn.org "Precinct Partner", which I
guess has something to do with calling folks in swing states and
getting out the vote and so on. (
http://www.moveonpac.org/precinctpartners/signup.html ) We'll see how I
do; years ago when I tried canvassing for Greenpeace I was
disappointing, but then, I believe in getting Bush out of the White
House more than I believe in Greenpeace, so …



On Sep 1, 2004, at 4:12 PM, Jim Andrews wrote:

> i was curious to see how a 'southern strategy' could work just in
> terms of
> voting clout.
>
> here's a map of how the 2000 usa election panned out:
> http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/U.S.-presidential-election,
> -2000 ;
> the map has the numbers on it that indicate the 'weight' of the states
> (by
> population).
>
> the total of the weights is 537. so a majority is 269. what would it
> take to
> get a majority?
>
> tallying up the southern states (Texas, Okla, Kansas, Nebr, Missouri,
> Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee,
> Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina) we get 209.
>
> throw in the terminator's California (which has the greatest 'weight'
> at 54)
> and pretty much just one other state, just about any other state, and
> that's
> a majority.
>
> ja
>
>
> +
> -> post: [email protected]
> -> questions: [email protected]
> -> subscribe/unsubscribe: http://rhizome.org/preferences/subscribe.rhiz
> -> give: http://rhizome.org/support
> -> visit: on Fridays the Rhizome.org web site is open to non-members
> +
> Subscribers to Rhizome are subject to the terms set out in the
> Membership Agreement available online at http://rhizome.org/info/29.php
>
>
Francis Hwang
Director of Technology
Rhizome.org
phone: 212-219-1288x202
AIM: francisrhizome
+ + +