Bottleneck At Heaven's Gates (Part Three)

Bottleneck At Heaven's Gates (Part Three)



F00 1
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Tec hno logy
Tre nds and
Co st/P
erfo rma nce
Som e S lide s b orro
we d fr
om Be rke ley
Co mp ute r S cie nce
25 2
Spr ing 20 00
F00 2
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Year 100010000 1000001000000 10000000100000000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
i80386
i4004 i8080
Pentium
i80486
i80286
i8086
Tec hno logy
Tre nds : Mi crop
roce sso r
Cap acit y
CM OS im pro
vem
ent s:
* D ie s
ize : 2X
ev ery 3 y rs
* Li ne wid
th: hal ve / 7 yrs
Alp ha 212
64: 15 mi llion
Pen tium Pr o: 5
.5 m
illio n
Pow erP C 6 20: 6.9
mi llion
Alp ha 211
64: 9.3
mi llion
Spa rc U ltra : 5. 2 m
illio n
Mo ore 's L
aw
ISS CC 20 00: 25 M+ tra nsi sto r pr
oce sso rs ( Inte
l)
F00 3
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Mem ory Cap acit y
(Sin gle Chi p D RAM
)
size Year
100010000 1000001000000 10000000100000000 1000000000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
yea r s ize (Mb
)
cyc tim e
198 0
0.0 625
250 ns
198 3
0.2 5
220 ns
198 6
1 190 ns
198 9
4 165 ns
199 2
16
145 ns
199 6
64
120 ns
200 0
256
100 ns
F00 4
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Tec hno logy
Tre nds
(Su mm
ary)
Ca pac
ity
Sp eed
(la ten cy)
Log ic
2x in 3 y
ear s
2x in 3 y ear s
DR AM
4x in 3 y
ear s
2x in 10 yea
rs
Dis k
4x in 3 y
ear s
2x in 10 yea
rs
F00 5
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
386 486 Pe ntiu
m(R )
Pe ntiu
m P ro
(R)P ent ium
(R)
II
MP C7 50
604 +
604 6
01, 60 32 126
4S
212
64
211 64A 21
164
210 64A
210 66
10100 1,0 00
10, 000
1987
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
Mhz
110100 Gate Delays/ Clock
Inte l
IBM Po we r PC
DE C
Ga te d
ela ys/ clo ck
Pro ces sor fre q
sca les by 2X pe r
gen era tion
Pro ces sor
freq uen cy t ren d
E^ F req uen
cy dou
ble s e ach
ge ner atio
n
E" N um ber of gat es/ clo ck red
uce by 25 %
F00 6
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Pro ces sor Per form
anc e Tr end s
Mic rop roc ess ors
Min ico mp ute rs
Ma infr
am es
Sup erc om put ers
Yea r
0.11101001000 1
965
197 0
197 5
198 0
198 5
199 0
199 5
200 0
Pag e 2
F00 7
CS /EE
58 10
CS /EE
68 10
Pro ces sor Per form
anc e
(1.3 5X b
efor e, 1 .55X
now
)



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