Fw: MARKET WILL ATTEMPT TO PREDICT WHITE HOUSE MOVES

In case you couldn't have guessed….




—– Original Message —–
From: "American Action Market" <[email protected]>
To: "Eryk (Maine.rr)" <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, August 01, 2003 3:27 AM
Subject: MARKET WILL ATTEMPT TO PREDICT WHITE HOUSE MOVES


> August 1, 2003
> FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
>
> CONSORTIUM FOLLOWS PENTAGON LEAD WITH NEW TERROR MARKET
> AmericanActionMarket.org will attempt to predict White House actions
>
> Contact: mailto:[email protected]
>
> Inspired by the futures market in terror and war that the Pentagon
released
> earlier this week (and then immediately yanked; see
> http://news.google.com/news?q=%22Policy+Analysis+Market%22), a consortium
> of computer scientists, political scientists and others announced today an
> online futures market in White House behavior.
>
> "The Pentagon felt that a market in terrorism futures could predict
> terrorism," said AAM spokesman Tad Hirsch, a researcher at MIT's Media
Lab.
> "If the market is indeed such a powerful tool, then it should be directed
> at the most urgent question facing the world: what will the White House do
> next? And the second most urgent: what is it doing right now?"
>
> The site, http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org, will offer various
> categories of "futures" that users can bet on and trade. Some of these
have
> easily verifiable outcomes:
>
> * Who will be the next foreign leader to move from the CIA payroll to
> the White House "most wanted" list?
>
> * What will be the next major White House lie to break, and how will
> the White House attempt to control it? Will the attempt be
> successful?
>
> * Which corporation will be next to see its close relationship to the
> White House erupt in scandal?
>
> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more examples.)
>
> In addition, AAM will also allow users to place and trade longer-term
> wagers on current or past scenarios that are in the short term unverifiabl
e
> because of White House secrecy, and which will only be proved or disproved
> via impeachment hearings, journalistic sleuth-work, etc. For example:
>
> * Was Rumsfeld the first to suggest using the attacks as pretext to
> overthrow Saddam Hussein, as reported in the press, or did the idea
> first come from others?
>
> * Was the invasion of Afghanistan planned from the start as a
> stepping-stone to an attack on Iraq?
>
> * Was the President fully conscious of the lies in his pre-war
> speeches, or were the decisions to lie taken by others? By whom?
>
> * How important a long-term factor in the 2003 Iraq was Iraq's
> expulsion of U.S. and British oil companies from Iraq between
> 1972 and 1975?
>
> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more examples and
> sources.)
>
> As evidence is accumulated to prove or disprove a particular future, its
> market value will change; this change may serve analysts as an indicator
of
> a scenario's likelihood, even if a final resolution of the bet is never
> achieved.
>
> Just as a gambler buys chips at a casino, users of the AAM system will use
> a secure webpage to buy "Smart Dollars," which they will then use for
> trading. Users will be able to "cash out" at any time by trading in their
> "Smart Dollars" for real ones, with 10% going to charity.
>
> Hirsch acknowledges that the value of markets as predictors is not
certain,
> but he insists it's worth trying. "If there's even a small chance this
will
> help predict what the White House will do, it's well worth the effort,
> given the stakes."
>
>
> AmericanActionMarket.org will be fully functional and ready for bets on
> October 1, the day the Pentagon's now-defunct futures market was scheduled
> to open.
>
> # 30 #
>
> To receive no further announcements from the AAM, write
> mailto:[email protected][email protected].
>
>

Comments

, neil jenkins

recieved this too - where did they get our email addresses from ?

On Friday, August 1, 2003, at 02:01 pm, Eryk Salvaggio wrote:

>
>
> In case you couldn't have guessed….
>
>
>
>
> —– Original Message —–
> From: "American Action Market" <[email protected]>
> To: "Eryk (Maine.rr)" <[email protected]>
> Sent: Friday, August 01, 2003 3:27 AM
> Subject: MARKET WILL ATTEMPT TO PREDICT WHITE HOUSE MOVES
>
>
>> August 1, 2003
>> FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
>>
>> CONSORTIUM FOLLOWS PENTAGON LEAD WITH NEW TERROR MARKET
>> AmericanActionMarket.org will attempt to predict White House actions
>>
>> Contact: mailto:[email protected]
>>
>> Inspired by the futures market in terror and war that the Pentagon
> released
>> earlier this week (and then immediately yanked; see
>> http://news.google.com/news?q=%22Policy+Analysis+Market%22), a
>> consortium
>> of computer scientists, political scientists and others announced
>> today an
>> online futures market in White House behavior.
>>
>> "The Pentagon felt that a market in terrorism futures could predict
>> terrorism," said AAM spokesman Tad Hirsch, a researcher at MIT's Media
> Lab.
>> "If the market is indeed such a powerful tool, then it should be
>> directed
>> at the most urgent question facing the world: what will the White
>> House do
>> next? And the second most urgent: what is it doing right now?"
>>
>> The site, http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org, will offer various
>> categories of "futures" that users can bet on and trade. Some of these
> have
>> easily verifiable outcomes:
>>
>> * Who will be the next foreign leader to move from the CIA payroll to
>> the White House "most wanted" list?
>>
>> * What will be the next major White House lie to break, and how will
>> the White House attempt to control it? Will the attempt be
>> successful?
>>
>> * Which corporation will be next to see its close relationship to the
>> White House erupt in scandal?
>>
>> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more
>> examples.)
>>
>> In addition, AAM will also allow users to place and trade longer-term
>> wagers on current or past scenarios that are in the short term
>> unverifiabl
> e
>> because of White House secrecy, and which will only be proved or
>> disproved
>> via impeachment hearings, journalistic sleuth-work, etc. For example:
>>
>> * Was Rumsfeld the first to suggest using the attacks as pretext to
>> overthrow Saddam Hussein, as reported in the press, or did the idea
>> first come from others?
>>
>> * Was the invasion of Afghanistan planned from the start as a
>> stepping-stone to an attack on Iraq?
>>
>> * Was the President fully conscious of the lies in his pre-war
>> speeches, or were the decisions to lie taken by others? By whom?
>>
>> * How important a long-term factor in the 2003 Iraq was Iraq's
>> expulsion of U.S. and British oil companies from Iraq between
>> 1972 and 1975?
>>
>> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more
>> examples and
>> sources.)
>>
>> As evidence is accumulated to prove or disprove a particular future,
>> its
>> market value will change; this change may serve analysts as an
>> indicator
> of
>> a scenario's likelihood, even if a final resolution of the bet is
>> never
>> achieved.
>>
>> Just as a gambler buys chips at a casino, users of the AAM system
>> will use
>> a secure webpage to buy "Smart Dollars," which they will then use for
>> trading. Users will be able to "cash out" at any time by trading in
>> their
>> "Smart Dollars" for real ones, with 10% going to charity.
>>
>> Hirsch acknowledges that the value of markets as predictors is not
> certain,
>> but he insists it's worth trying. "If there's even a small chance this
> will
>> help predict what the White House will do, it's well worth the effort,
>> given the stakes."
>>
>>
>> AmericanActionMarket.org will be fully functional and ready for bets
>> on
>> October 1, the day the Pentagon's now-defunct futures market was
>> scheduled
>> to open.
>>
>> # 30 #
>>
>> To receive no further announcements from the AAM, write
>> mailto:[email protected][email protected].
>>
>>
>
> + ti esrever dna ti pilf nwod gniht ym tup
> -> post: [email protected]
> -> questions: [email protected]
> -> subscribe/unsubscribe: http://rhizome.org/preferences/subscribe.rhiz
> -> give: http://rhizome.org/support
> +
> Subscribers to Rhizome are subject to the terms set out in the
> Membership Agreement available online at http://rhizome.org/info/29.php
>

, Lee Wells

Genius, although it doesn't take one to predict most of the bullsh-t that
comes out of the whitehouse.

I want to play.

on 8/1/03 9:26 AM, neil jenkins at [email protected] wrote:

> recieved this too - where did they get our email addresses from ?
>
> On Friday, August 1, 2003, at 02:01 pm, Eryk Salvaggio wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> In case you couldn't have guessed….
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> —– Original Message —–
>> From: "American Action Market" <[email protected]>
>> To: "Eryk (Maine.rr)" <[email protected]>
>> Sent: Friday, August 01, 2003 3:27 AM
>> Subject: MARKET WILL ATTEMPT TO PREDICT WHITE HOUSE MOVES
>>
>>
>>> August 1, 2003
>>> FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
>>>
>>> CONSORTIUM FOLLOWS PENTAGON LEAD WITH NEW TERROR MARKET
>>> AmericanActionMarket.org will attempt to predict White House actions
>>>
>>> Contact: mailto:[email protected]
>>>
>>> Inspired by the futures market in terror and war that the Pentagon
>> released
>>> earlier this week (and then immediately yanked; see
>>> http://news.google.com/news?q=%22Policy+Analysis+Market%22), a
>>> consortium
>>> of computer scientists, political scientists and others announced
>>> today an
>>> online futures market in White House behavior.
>>>
>>> "The Pentagon felt that a market in terrorism futures could predict
>>> terrorism," said AAM spokesman Tad Hirsch, a researcher at MIT's Media
>> Lab.
>>> "If the market is indeed such a powerful tool, then it should be
>>> directed
>>> at the most urgent question facing the world: what will the White
>>> House do
>>> next? And the second most urgent: what is it doing right now?"
>>>
>>> The site, http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org, will offer various
>>> categories of "futures" that users can bet on and trade. Some of these
>> have
>>> easily verifiable outcomes:
>>>
>>> * Who will be the next foreign leader to move from the CIA payroll to
>>> the White House "most wanted" list?
>>>
>>> * What will be the next major White House lie to break, and how will
>>> the White House attempt to control it? Will the attempt be
>>> successful?
>>>
>>> * Which corporation will be next to see its close relationship to the
>>> White House erupt in scandal?
>>>
>>> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more
>>> examples.)
>>>
>>> In addition, AAM will also allow users to place and trade longer-term
>>> wagers on current or past scenarios that are in the short term
>>> unverifiabl
>> e
>>> because of White House secrecy, and which will only be proved or
>>> disproved
>>> via impeachment hearings, journalistic sleuth-work, etc. For example:
>>>
>>> * Was Rumsfeld the first to suggest using the attacks as pretext to
>>> overthrow Saddam Hussein, as reported in the press, or did the idea
>>> first come from others?
>>>
>>> * Was the invasion of Afghanistan planned from the start as a
>>> stepping-stone to an attack on Iraq?
>>>
>>> * Was the President fully conscious of the lies in his pre-war
>>> speeches, or were the decisions to lie taken by others? By whom?
>>>
>>> * How important a long-term factor in the 2003 Iraq was Iraq's
>>> expulsion of U.S. and British oil companies from Iraq between
>>> 1972 and 1975?
>>>
>>> (See http://www.AmericanActionMarket.org/concept.htm for more
>>> examples and
>>> sources.)
>>>
>>> As evidence is accumulated to prove or disprove a particular future,
>>> its
>>> market value will change; this change may serve analysts as an
>>> indicator
>> of
>>> a scenario's likelihood, even if a final resolution of the bet is
>>> never
>>> achieved.
>>>
>>> Just as a gambler buys chips at a casino, users of the AAM system
>>> will use
>>> a secure webpage to buy "Smart Dollars," which they will then use for
>>> trading. Users will be able to "cash out" at any time by trading in
>>> their
>>> "Smart Dollars" for real ones, with 10% going to charity.
>>>
>>> Hirsch acknowledges that the value of markets as predictors is not
>> certain,
>>> but he insists it's worth trying. "If there's even a small chance this
>> will
>>> help predict what the White House will do, it's well worth the effort,
>>> given the stakes."
>>>
>>>
>>> AmericanActionMarket.org will be fully functional and ready for bets
>>> on
>>> October 1, the day the Pentagon's now-defunct futures market was
>>> scheduled
>>> to open.
>>>
>>> # 30 #
>>>
>>> To receive no further announcements from the AAM, write
>>> mailto:[email protected][email protected].
>>>
>>>
>>
>> + ti esrever dna ti pilf nwod gniht ym tup
>> -> post: [email protected]
>> -> questions: [email protected]
>> -> subscribe/unsubscribe: http://rhizome.org/preferences/subscribe.rhiz
>> -> give: http://rhizome.org/support
>> +
>> Subscribers to Rhizome are subject to the terms set out in the
>> Membership Agreement available online at http://rhizome.org/info/29.php
>>
>
> + ti esrever dna ti pilf nwod gniht ym tup
> -> post: [email protected]
> -> questions: [email protected]
> -> subscribe/unsubscribe: http://rhizome.org/preferences/subscribe.rhiz
> -> give: http://rhizome.org/support
> +
> Subscribers to Rhizome are subject to the terms set out in the
> Membership Agreement available online at http://rhizome.org/info/29.php
>