FW: [complexual] Recent Terrorism Futures Market Flap

This posting comes from another list I am on. Sometimes it seems a more
intelligent list, but maybe thats just because it doesnt have Eryks knee
jerk high school responses …

———-
> From: Philip Galanter <[email protected]>
> Reply-To: [email protected]
> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:54:45 -0400
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: [complexual] Recent Terrorism Futures Market Flap
>
>
> Here is another conversation starter/killer…then I'll be quiet and
> give others a turn!
>
> Although it wasn't publicized as such, the recent DARPA experiment
> proposal here in the States to create a futures market to predict
> terrorist threats has very strong ties to complexity theory. Those
> working in the field are interested in adaptive systems that exhibit
> the kind of distributed intelligence suggested by connectionist
> models. In this regard, futures markets are already established as a
> legitimate objects of study, if not already verified as usefully
> working tools.
>
> Without getting into any partisan politics, I thought the recent flap
> about the terrorism futures market was quite interesting…and more
> than a bit depressing. On its face it's a good example of complexity
> thinking and engineering…but the villagers were quick to take up
> pitchforks and torches to kill the Professor's monster.
>
> One of the saner articles was in the New York Times…
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/31/business/31SCEN.html
>
>
>
>
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